
Q2 2026 Strategic Materials Pre‑Brief: What to Watch This Quarter
Executive pre-brief for Q2 2026 on critical minerals: rare earths, copper, nickel, lithium, graphite and cobalt. Key risks, scenarios and actions for…
27 février 2026
Anna K.Atomic #74
critical
The hardest and most heat-resistant metal, suffering from one of the most extreme supply concentrations in the world.
Tungsten is an incredibly dense, hard metal with the highest melting point of all metals (3,422 °C). When combined with carbon to form tungsten carbide, it provides irreplaceable wear resistance for cutting, drilling, and machining tools across construction, energy, and aerospace. The global supply chain is dominated by China, which controls over 80% of mine production and over half of global reserves, making tungsten a high-priority critical mineral for Western governments.
Global Mined Production
81,000
tonnes/year (2024)
China Mining Share
≈83%
(67,000 tonnes)
China Reserves Share
52%
(2.4M tonnes)
Cemented Carbides Share
60%
(of total demand)
US Commercial Mining
0
(Since 2015)
Current Rate
High in industrial tools (estimated >30% globally)
Target
Maximize recovery of cemented carbides
Economics
Highly economical due to the value of both tungsten and the cobalt binder used in hardmetals.
| Grade | Specification | Form | Applications | Impurity Limits |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ammonium Paratungstate (APT) | Intermediate Chemical | White crystalline powder | The main globally traded intermediate used to produce tungsten oxides and powders. | Standardized maximums for Mo, As, P, S. |
| Tungsten Carbide Powder | WC | Fine grey powder | Sintered with cobalt to make hardmetal cutting tools. | — |
| High-Purity Tungsten Metal | ≥99.9% W | Wire, rods, targets | Semiconductor interconnects, lighting filaments. | — |
Where Tungsten Goes
Largest
Cemented Carbides
60%
Cemented Carbides
60%Tungsten carbide bound with cobalt. Essential for cutting, drilling, and wear-resistant tools in construction, metalworking, mining, and oil & gas.
Alloy & Superalloys
20%Improves high-temperature strength and creep resistance in hot-work tool steels and turbine alloys.
High-Density Metal Composites
10%Used for radiation shielding, aerospace counterweights, and kinetic-energy penetrators in defense applications.
Electronics & Filaments
10%Lighting, electrodes, welding wires, and power-electronics packaging.
From Source to Industry
Structural Bottlenecks
Mining HHI
China ≈83%. Extreme geographic concentration.
Refining HHI
China dominates APT and oxide conversion.
Chokepoints
China produces roughly 83% of global mine output and controls ~52% of reserves. Production outside of China is highly fragmented.
Impact
High vulnerability to Chinese export quotas, tariffs, or geopolitical disruptions. Western project pipelines are slow to develop.
Mitigation
Development of new projects in South Korea, Canada, Australia, and Africa; scaling up of scrap recycling.
Tungsten's extreme hardness and heat resistance cannot be easily replicated. Substitutes (like molybdenum or titanium carbides) often result in higher costs or lower performance.
Impact
Demand is highly inelastic; critical industries (defense, aerospace, machining) must secure tungsten regardless of price.
Mitigation
Intensive recycling programs for end-of-life tooling.
The US has had no commercial tungsten mining since 2015, relying entirely on imports and scrap recycling to feed its downstream conversion facilities.
Impact
Exposure to supply shocks for critical defense and industrial applications.
Mitigation
USGS Earth MRI program mapping domestic resources; Section 301 tariffs applied to Chinese imports to spur domestic/allied production.
What Could Replace Tungsten?
Titanium/Molybdenum Carbides
Replacing in: Cutting tools, hardmetals
Often results in lower wear resistance or shorter tool life compared to tungsten carbide.
Depleted Uranium
Replacing in: Kinetic-energy penetrators, shielding
Effective density, but carries severe environmental, health, and regulatory liabilities compared to tungsten alloys.
Key Events
Ongoing
USGS & European Commission
Classified as critical due to high economic importance and extreme supply risk, triggering mapping and strategic funding.
2025
US Trade Representative
25% tariffs applied to Chinese tungsten products (carbides, concentrates, oxides) to counter dependency and spur allied supply chains.
Leading Indicators
Chinese Export Quotas
China regulates domestic mining and exports; changes to these quotas immediately impact global APT prices.
Track via: Chinese Ministry of Commerce (MOFCOM) announcements.
Scrap Recovery Rates
With zero US mining, expanding the recycling loop for spent drill bits and tooling is the fastest way to build domestic resilience.
Track via: Scrap processing facility expansions in North America and Europe.
Frequently Asked Questions
Tungsten is the backbone of industrial machining. About 60% of it is used to make cemented tungsten carbides—the ultra-hard material used for drill bits, saw blades, and cutting tools that shape other metals, rocks, and materials.
It combines irreplaceable performance in defense, energy, and manufacturing with an extreme supply concentration. China controls over 80% of production and half of all reserves, creating a massive geopolitical chokepoint for Western industries.
Not easily. While some applications can use ceramics, molybdenum, or titanium carbides, these alternatives usually offer inferior performance or higher costs in high-stress, high-heat environments.
No. The US has not had active commercial tungsten mining since 2015. It relies entirely on imports and the recycling of scrap to feed its domestic processing facilities.
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